Skip to market conditions

Issue 001

Published

Readings available as of

Materials / Capital / Labor / Activity

Market Conditions

A dated visual briefing on selected forces surrounding a project, assembled from published data and interpreted through architectural practice.

The 10-second read

Five signals.
One uneven market.

Direction first. Detail and source records follow below.

01 / Material outlier
+16.9%

Steel mill products

Year over year / June 2026

02 / Broad materials
+4.0%

Materials for construction

Year over year / June 2026

03 / Capital benchmark
4.70%

10-year Treasury

Daily par yield / August 11, 2026

04 / Construction activity
−3.2%

Total construction spending

Year over year / June 2026

05 / Design pipeline
47.3

Architecture Billings Index

Below 50 / June 2026

These indicators describe different scopes and time periods. They are shown together for orientation—not blended into a single score. Not a bid, estimate, or forecast.

BLAST interpretationHow to read it

The aggregate and component readings move differently.

01

Identify material exposure.

Steel mill product prices rose 16.9% year over year, while the materials-for-construction index rose 4.0%. A national index does not describe a specific project's material exposure.

02

Compare sectors.

Office and manufacturing spending moved in opposite directions in the cited June data. The total does not describe every sector or determine a procurement strategy.

03

Account for timing.

The interval between design decisions and bidding exposes a project to changing material and financing conditions. Treat timing as a project variable.

Read the full monthly interpretation

Total construction spending was nearly unchanged from May and down 3.2% from a year earlier. The component readings were less uniform. Construction employment was slightly lower year over year in New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania. New York's year-to-date residential permit total was higher, while New Jersey and Pennsylvania were lower. These indicators do not reduce the market to “up” or “down.” Building type, material mix, and the interval between a decision and a bid matter more than the aggregate headline.

Brendan Leadbeater, AIA / BLAST

Materials / BLS Producer Price Index

Movement, not a price tag.

Each series has its own base period. The interactive chart re-indexes the selected series to 100 so its movement can be read clearly.

BLS / WPUID6121

Materials for construction

+4.0%

Year over year

Month over month +0.7%

Index 178.033

BLS / WPU1017

Steel

+16.9%

Year over year

Month over month +3.6%

Index 361.439

BLS / WPU0811

Lumber

+6.2%

Year over year

Month over month -0.6%

Index 282.733

BLS / WPU1333

Ready-mix

+1.9%

Year over year

Month over month +0.1%

Index 394.596

Compare
Window

Steel mill products / selected window

+18.3%Jul 2025Jun 2026

How to read it. Every selected series begins at 100. The line shows direction and relative movement—not installed cost.

1221141079992Jul 2025Jun 2026END

Why it matters. This measures mill-product selling prices—not a fabricated, delivered, erected steel package. The difference matters when scope and schedule are still moving.

BLS series WPU1017
View the values used in this chart
ObservationBLS indexSelected-period index
Jul 2025305.538100.0
Aug 2025308.772101.1
Sep 2025304.57999.7
Oct 2025300.66598.4
Nov 2025291.55695.4
Dec 2025312.410102.2
Jan 2026315.369103.2
Feb 2026325.105106.4
Mar 2026331.357108.5
Apr 2026341.281111.7
May 2026349.023114.2
Jun 2026361.439118.3

June 2026 producer price readings are preliminary and subject to revision. Values retrieved from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on August 11, 2026.

Capital

The cost of waiting is not only construction cost.

Benchmarks provide context; they are not a loan quote. Actual financing depends on borrower, lender, structure, term, leverage, collateral, and market.

NJ / NY / PA

Three states. Two different signals.

Employment describes current workforce conditions. Residential permits describe authorized units—not starts, completions, or nonresidential work.

Construction employment

June 2026 / Not seasonally adjusted / Preliminary

New Jersey

167.0K

from June 2025 -1.8%

New York

396.1K

from June 2025 -0.2%

Pennsylvania

270.8K

from June 2025 -0.9%

BLS State and Metro Area Employment ↗

Residential units permitted

June 2026 / Revised

New Jersey

2,796

YTD 15,714 / vs. same period in 2025 -3.0%

New York

4,393

YTD 22,446 / vs. same period in 2025 +49.2%

Pennsylvania

2,545

YTD 12,353 / vs. same period in 2025 -2.2%

Census Building Permits Survey ↗

Permit totals can move sharply when one or two large multifamily buildings are authorized. Year-to-date context is shown beside the monthly count.

Activity / United States

One total. Several markets.

Total value of construction put in place, seasonally adjusted annual rate. June 2026 preliminary.

Total construction$2.167T

from May -0.1% · from June 2025 -3.2%

Selected readingsAnnual rateYear over year
Office$132.8B
+12.5%
Commercial$121.2B
-5.9%
Manufacturing$172.7B
-21.4%
Public construction, all types$544.1B
+1.7%

Annual rates are adjusted for seasonality, not price changes. Census cautions that month-to-month movements can be irregular and preliminary estimates are revised.

June 2026 Construction Spending release ↗

Design pipeline / AIA

47.3

50 =
no change

The June 2026 Architecture Billings Index remained below 50, indicating that a majority of responding firms continued to report declining billings. Project inquiries increased.

AIA describes the ABI as a leading indicator for nonresidential construction. BLAST links to the public monthly summary; it does not reproduce AIA's proprietary historical dataset.

Read AIA's June summary ↗

Method / Limits

Use the record to ask a better question.

Definitions, limits, and how to use this page

This dated issue assembles selected public-agency data and AIA's public ABI summary to support early project conversations. It does not provide construction pricing, investment advice, a market forecast, or a substitute for project-specific advice from the relevant professionals.

Every reading names its source, observation period, and known status. Indexes describe defined markets and scopes. They do not automatically translate into the same percentage change in an installed project cost.

This first issue is a dated snapshot. Source agencies may revise preliminary values after publication.